ethereum october 13 Polymarket: 2,500–2,600 Leads at 72%

ethereum october 13 is a same-day bracket market on Polymarket, and this morning it has a clear favorite. In our snapshot at 06:03 UTC (09:03 MSK), the 2,500–2,600 bracket led at 72% Yes, with 2,400–2,500 at 21% and 2,600–2,700 at 6%. It settles on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute close at noon Eastern, 19:00 MSK today.

What actually happened

The Ethereum price on October 13 market asks which $100 bracket ETH sits in at the Binance noon-ET print. At 06:03 UTC the board favored 2,500–2,600 at 72%. The 2,400–2,500 bracket, where ETH spent much of the night, was down to 21%.

That shift tracks a sharp overnight bounce. BeInCrypto reported at 01:59 UTC that ETH had fallen 4.46% in 24 hours to $2,429.16. Kraken's ticker showed a low near $2,406.71. By about 06:06 UTC, CoinGecko had ETH around $2,527.

Volume is thin. When we pulled event data a few minutes after the snapshot, the market showed about $35.5K traded. A few wallets can move these odds, so treat them as a mood ring, not a consensus.

The overnight flush

Ethereum led the liquidation board. BeInCrypto, citing CoinGlass, said ETH saw $169.23M in liquidations over 24 hours, 86.3% of them longs, out of $774.14M market-wide. Leverage got cleared out fast.

BitMine chair Tom Lee tied part of the drop to Korea. "This major decline in Korean equities likely spilling over into crypto," he posted, pointing to margin liquidations at brokerages as South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 5%.

The ETF tape is still heavy. Crypto Briefing says October 12 capped nine straight days of outflows from spot Ethereum ETFs, and the week ending October 9 saw $542.1M in net redemptions, the largest weekly outflow since January 2026. We've followed that trend in our Ethereum ETF outflows coverage.

Why 2,500 and 2,600 are the lines

Spot was sitting in the lower half of the leading bracket at snapshot time. A drop of about 1% sends it back into 2,400–2,500, which is why that bracket still carried 21%. The upside border at 2,600 is farther away, so 2,600–2,700 got only 6%.

The CPI print lands Wednesday at 8:30 ET, after today's market settles. That means today's candle trades on positioning and overnight flows, not on the inflation number itself. For a longer-dated ETH question, see our Ethereum above October 2 market recap.

Leverage resets cut both ways. After a long squeeze, there is less forced selling left in the system, which can help a bounce stick. It also means fresh longs are piling in at higher prices, and they can get flushed again if the tape turns before noon ET.

What Polymarket thinks

On "Ethereum price on October 13?" the leading outcome, 2,500–2,600, traded at 72% Yes in our 06:03 UTC snapshot. Add the 21% on 2,400–2,500 and the market saw better than nine-in-ten odds that ETH settles between $2,400 and $2,600 at noon ET.

These ethereum october 13 odds are one snapshot. We are not averaging prints from different minutes, and the board will move every time spot nears 2,500. Any screenshot without a UTC or MSK timestamp should be treated as stale.

Remember the venue rule. Only the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute close counts. Coinbase or index prices can drift from Binance by a few dollars, which matters when spot is close to a border.

What to do as a reader

To follow the settle, open Binance ETH/USDT with 1m candles and watch the candle closing at 12:00 ET, which is 19:00 MSK. If the close lands exactly on a border, the market's rules send it to the higher bracket.

If you share the ethereum october 13 numbers, include the time. Our figure is 72% on 2,500–2,600 at 09:03 MSK. Refresh the event page for anything newer.

Size small if you play at all. A 72% favorite still misses more than one time in four, and a thin book means you might not get out at the price you see. Nothing here is investment advice.